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2015-2016 Free Agency


Rk Player Pos Age From To Signed 2016 EstLvl 2015 2014 2013
1 Zack Greinke SP 32 LAD ARI Dec 08 2.6 7.5 9.7 5.2 5.5
2 Jason Heyward RF 26 STL CHC Dec 15 1.3 5.8 6.6 5.8 3.5
3 Yoenis Cespedes LF 30 NYM NYM Jan 26 3.1 4.7 6.3 4.0 1.4
4 David Price SP 30 TOR BOS Dec 04 2.9 4.9 6.1 4.2 2.6
5 John Lackey SP 37 STL CHC Dec 08 2.5 4.2 5.6 1.0 2.9
6 Chris Davis 1B 30 BAL BAL Jan 21 3.3 4.3 5.3 1.7 6.5
7 Justin Upton LF 28 SDP DET Jan 20 1.9 3.6 4.3 3.1 2.6
8 Yovani Gallardo SP 30 TEX BAL Feb 25 0.2 3.1 4.1 1.9 0.6
9 Marco Estrada SP 32 TOR TOR Nov 13 3.6 3.0 4.0 0.4 1.5
10 Johnny Cueto SP 30 KCR SFG Dec 16 5.3 4.4 3.9 6.8 1.3
11 Wei-Yin Chen SP 30 BAL MIA Jan 19 -0.8 2.8 3.7 1.9 1.6
12 J. A. Happ SP 33 PIT TOR Nov 27 4.8 2.3 3.1 1.2 0.1
13 Scott Kazmir SP 32 HOU LAD Dec 30 0.3 2.3 3.0 1.9 1.2
14 Jordan Zimmermann SP 30 WAS DET Nov 30 0.4 3.7 3.0 4.9 3.6
15 Mike Leake SP 28 SFG STL Dec 22 0.3 2.6 2.8 2.2 3.0
16 Alex Gordon LF 32 KCR KCR Jan 06 0.9 4.3 2.8 6.5 4.3
17 Colby Rasmus LF 29 HOU HOU Nov 13 2.3 2.6 2.8 1.1 4.9
18 Darren O'Day RP 33 BAL BAL Dec 14 0.5 2.5 2.8 2.4 1.9
19 A. J. Burnett SP 39 PIT 2.0 2.7 0.2 1.5
20 Chris Young SP 37 KCR KCR Dec 07 -1.0 2.0 2.7 1.8 0.0
21 Hisashi Iwakuma SP 35 SEA SEA Dec 17 2.6 3.2 2.5 2.4 7.2
22 David Freese 3B 33 LAA PIT Mar 11 1.9 1.8 2.4 1.5 -0.4
23 Franklin Gutierrez LF 33 SEA SEA Nov 11 0.3 1.8 2.4 0.0 0.3
24 Dexter Fowler CF 30 CHC CHC Feb 25 4.1 2.1 2.4 1.8 1.9
25 Dan Haren SP 35 CHC 1.6 2.2 -0.3 0.2
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Established Level Methodology

The calculation is based on the "Established Level" portion of Bill James Favorite Toy.
- The metric from the current year (2016) is multiplied by 3.
- The previous year's (2015) metric is multiplied by 2.
- The metric from two years prior (2014) is added to the above totals and they are divided by 6.
- One caveat is that the final "Established Level" should not be below 75% of the current year's (2016) metric

Example:

Player X has 5.0 WAR in 2016, 7.0 WAR in 2015, and 4.0 WAR in 2014.
((5.0 x 3) + (7.0 x 2) + 4.0) / 6 = 5.5 WAR