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2016 American League

2015 / 2017

Top Hitter

Mike Trout

Mike
Trout

Top Pitcher

Justin Verlander

Justin
Verlander

Champions

Cleveland Indians

Cleveland Indians

Show Season Profile

Probability of Reaching 300 Wins

Bill James' Favorite Toy


Rk Player Team Pos Age Prob EstLvl 2016 2015 2014 Yrs Career Needed
1 Madison Bumgarner SFG SP 26 14.8% 16.5 15 18 18 7.9 100 200
2 Rick Porcello BOS SP 27 14.1% 16.5 22 9 15 7.5 107 193
3 Clayton Kershaw LAD SP 28 9.9% 14.8 12 16 21 7.0 126 174
4 Felix Hernandez SEA SP 30 6.2% 14.0 11 18 15 5.9 154 146
5 David Price BOS SP 30 2.2% 17.0 17 18 15 5.5 121 179
6 Chris Sale CHW SP 27 0.2% 14.8 17 13 12 7.6 74 226
7 Bartolo Colon NYM SP 43 0.0% 14.7 15 14 15 1.5 233 67
8 CC Sabathia NYY SP 35 0.0% 7.0 9 6 3 2.4 223 77
9 John Lackey CHC SP 37 0.0% 12.2 11 13 14 1.5 176 124
10 Justin Verlander DET SP 33 0.0% 12.2 16 5 15 4.0 173 127
11 Zack Greinke ARI SP 32 0.0% 15.7 13 19 17 4.4 155 145
12 Jake Peavy SFG SP 35 0.0% 6.3 5 8 7 2.9 152 148
13 Jered Weaver LAA SP 33 0.0% 11.3 12 7 18 3.8 150 150
14 Kyle Lohse TEX SP 37 0.0% 3.8 0 5 13 1.5 147 153
15 Jon Lester CHC SP 32 0.0% 15.8 19 11 16 4.5 146 154
16 Cole Hamels TEX SP 32 0.0% 13.3 15 13 9 4.5 136 164
17 Adam Wainwright STL SP 34 0.0% 10.5 13 2 20 3.1 134 166
18 Ervin Santana MIN SP 33 0.0% 8.2 7 7 14 3.9 133 167
19 James Shields SDP/CHW SP 34 0.0% 9.7 6 13 14 3.3 133 167
20 Max Scherzer WAS SP 31 0.0% 17.7 20 14 18 4.8 125 175
21 Johnny Cueto SFG SP 30 0.0% 16.0 18 11 20 5.8 114 186
22 R. A. Dickey TOR SP 41 0.0% 11.0 10 11 14 1.5 110 190
23 Tim Lincecum LAA SP 32 0.0% 5.3 2 7 12 4.8 110 190
24 Yovani Gallardo BAL SP 30 0.0% 8.7 6 13 8 5.8 108 192
25 Ubaldo Jimenez BAL SP 32 0.0% 9.0 8 12 6 4.5 108 192