Choose Metric:

Probability of Reaching 300 Wins

Bill James' Favorite Toy


Rk Player Team Pos Age Prob EstLvl 1893 1892 1891 Yrs Career Needed
1 Tim Keefe* PHI SP 36 100.0% 12.2 10 19 5 2.1 342 0
2 John Clarkson* CLE SP 32 100.0% 21.8 16 25 33 4.8 320 0
3 Tony Mullane CIN/BAL SP 34 96.5% 19.8 18 21 23 3.3 277 23
4 Gus Weyhing PHI SP 26 89.5% 27.3 23 32 31 7.9 200 100
5 Amos Rusie NYG SP 22 85.8% 32.3 33 31 33 10.7 138 162
6 Kid Nichols* BSN SP 23 85.4% 33.7 34 35 30 9.7 126 174
7 Cy Young* CLE SP 26 83.8% 33.5 34 36 27 8.2 106 194
8 Jack Stivetts BSN SP 25 82.4% 27.2 20 35 33 8.8 127 173
9 Frank Killen PIT SP 22 78.6% 28.8 36 29 7 10.4 72 228
10 Sadie McMahon BAL SP 25 66.7% 23.7 23 19 35 8.5 127 173
11 Silver King NYG/CIN SP 25 58.0% 14.0 8 23 14 8.7 187 113
12 Ice Box Chamberlain CIN SP 25 52.6% 18.0 16 19 22 8.6 149 151
13 Kid Gleason STL SP 26 43.5% 21.2 21 20 24 8.0 119 181
14 Harry Staley BSN SP 26 39.4% 20.3 18 22 24 8.0 118 182
15 Kid Carsey PHI SP 20 37.6% 18.7 20 19 14 11.6 53 247
16 Mark Baldwin PIT/NYG SP 29 37.5% 20.3 16 26 22 6.2 156 144
17 Ed Stein BRO SP 23 31.2% 19.7 19 27 7 9.7 65 235
18 Frank Dwyer CIN SP 25 27.4% 19.2 18 21 19 8.8 81 219
19 George Haddock BRO SP 26 24.8% 19.3 8 29 34 8.1 91 209
20 Bill Hutchinson CHC SP 33 23.1% 27.3 16 36 44 3.9 155 145
21 Red Ehret PIT SP 24 19.8% 16.5 18 16 13 9.1 85 215
22 Nig Cuppy CLE SP 23 17.2% 17.8 17 28 9.6 45 255
23 Ad Gumbert PIT SP 25 14.5% 15.7 11 22 17 8.6 92 208
24 Scott Stratton LOU SP 23 13.8% 14.0 12 21 6 9.8 86 214
25 Willie McGill CHC SP 19 12.3% 12.8 17 1 21 12.2 50 250
Page: 1 , 2 , 3 ... 11