Choose Metric:

Probability of Reaching 300 Wins

Bill James' Favorite Toy


Rk Player Team Pos Age Prob EstLvl 1879 1878 1877 Yrs Career Needed
1 Tommy Bond BSN SP 23 92.6% 41.5 43 40 40 10.1 195 105
2 Monte Ward PRO SP 19 81.9% 35.3 47 22 12.4 69 231
3 Will White CIN SP 24 80.9% 32.3 43 30 2 9.2 75 225
4 Terry Larkin CHC SP 23 80.7% 30.0 31 29 29 9.9 89 211
5 Pud Galvin* BUF SP 22 62.4% 27.8 37 10.5 41 259
6 Jim McCormick CLE SP 22 6.8% 15.0 20 5 10.4 25 275
7 Bobby Mathews PRO SP 27 0.3% 9.0 12 3 7.4 167 133
8 George Bradley TRO SP 26 0.0% 9.8 13 18 7.8 109 191
9 Bobby Mitchell CLE SP 23 0.0% 6.8 7 7 6 10.0 20 280
10 Harry McCormick SYR SP 23 0.0% 13.5 18 9.8 18 282
11 Frank Hankinson CHC SP 23 0.0% 11.3 15 0 10.1 15 285
12 Cal McVey CIN 1B 29 0.0% 0.7 0 4 6.1 10 290
13 Curry Foley BSN SP 23 0.0% 6.8 9 9.9 9 291
14 Bill McGunnigle BUF SP 24 0.0% 6.8 9 9.3 9 291
15 Harry Wheeler CIN RF 21 0.0% 2.0 0 6 11.2 6 294
16 Blondie Purcell SYR/CIN SP 25 0.0% 3.0 4 8.8 4 296
17 Harry Salisbury TRO SP 24 0.0% 3.0 4 9.5 4 296
18 Fred Goldsmith TRO SP 23 0.0% 1.5 2 10.1 2 298
19 Lee Richmond BSN SP 22 0.0% 0.8 1 10.7 1 299
20 Jim Tyng BSN SP 23 0.0% 0.8 1 10.1 1 299
21 Dan Brouthers TRO 1B 21 0.0% 0.0 0 11.3 0 300
22 Mike Dorgan SYR 1B 25 0.0% 0.0 0 8.6 0 300
23 Gid Gardner TRO SP 20 0.0% 0.0 0 11.9 0 300
24 Pat McManus TRO SP 19 0.0% 0.0 0 12.2 0 300
25 Jack Neagle CIN SP 21 0.0% 0.0 0 11.1 0 300
Page: 1 , 2 , 3 ... 5