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Probability of Reaching 500 Homeruns

Bill James' Favorite Toy


Rk Player Team Pos Age Prob EstLvl 1879 1878 1877 Yrs Career Needed
101 Joe Quest CHC 2B 26 0.0% 0.0 0 0 8.0 0 500
102 Charlie Reilley TRO C 23 0.0% 0.0 0 9.9 0 500
103 Hardy Richardson BUF 3B 24 0.0% 0.0 0 9.5 0 500
104 Lee Richmond BSN SP 22 0.0% 0.0 0 10.7 0 500
105 Billy Riley CLE LF 24 0.0% 0.0 0 9.3 0 500
106 Jack Rowe BUF C 22 0.0% 0.0 0 10.5 0 500
107 Harry Salisbury TRO SP 24 0.0% 0.0 0 9.5 0 500
108 John Shoup TRO SS 27 0.0% 0.0 0 7.3 0 500
109 John Stedronsky CHC 3B 29 0.0% 0.0 0 6.6 0 500
110 Len Stockwell CLE CF 19 0.0% 0.0 0 12.1 0 500
111 George Strief CLE CF 22 0.0% 0.0 0 10.4 0 500
112 Denny Sullivan PRO 3B 21 0.0% 0.0 0 11.4 0 500
113 Live Oak Taylor TRO LF 28 0.0% 0.0 0 0 7.0 0 500
114 Jim Tyng BSN SP 23 0.0% 0.0 0 10.1 0 500
115 Fred Warner CLE 3B 24 0.0% 0.0 0 0 9.3 0 500
116 Harry Wheeler CIN RF 21 0.0% 0.0 0 0 11.2 0 500
117 Bill White PRO 1B 18 0.0% 0.0 0 12.8 0 500
118 Will White CIN SP 24 0.0% 0.0 0 0 0 9.2 0 500
119 Red Woodhead SYR 3B 27 0.0% 0.0 0 7.2 0 500
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