Choose Metric:

Probability of Reaching 300 Wins

Bill James' Favorite Toy


Rk Player Team Pos Age Prob EstLvl 2017 2016 2015 Yrs Career Needed
1 Rick Porcello BOS SP 28 4.3% 14.3 11 22 9 6.9 118 182
2 J. A. Happ TOR SP 34 0.0% 13.5 10 20 11 3.2 92 208
3 Max Scherzer WAS SP 32 0.0% 17.0 16 20 14 4.2 141 159
4 Jon Lester CHC SP 33 0.0% 14.7 13 19 11 3.9 159 141
5 Jake Arrieta CHC SP 31 0.0% 16.7 14 18 22 5.2 88 212
6 Johnny Cueto SFG SP 31 0.0% 11.8 8 18 11 5.2 122 178
7 Corey Kluber CLE SP 31 0.0% 16.5 18 18 9 5.3 76 224
8 David Price BOS SP 31 0.0% 11.7 6 17 18 4.9 127 173
9 Chris Sale BOS SP 28 5.1% 16.3 17 17 13 7.0 91 209
10 Kyle Hendricks CHC SP 27 0.0% 10.2 7 16 8 7.5 38 262
11 Hisashi Iwakuma SEA SP 36 0.0% 6.8 0 16 9 2.3 63 237
12 Kenta Maeda LAD SP 29 0.0% 11.8 13 16 6.5 29 271
13 Carlos Martinez STL SP 25 0.0% 13.7 12 16 14 8.5 46 254
14 Tanner Roark WAS SP 30 0.0% 12.5 13 16 4 5.6 55 245
15 Chris Tillman BAL SP 29 0.0% 7.7 1 16 11 6.5 73 227
16 Justin Verlander DET/HOU SP 34 0.0% 13.7 15 16 5 3.4 188 112
17 Madison Bumgarner SFG SP 27 0.0% 10.0 4 15 18 7.3 104 196
18 Bartolo Colon ATL/MIN SP 44 0.0% 10.8 7 15 14 1.5 240 60
19 Cole Hamels TEX SP 33 0.0% 12.7 11 15 13 3.9 147 153
20 Jason Hammel KCR SP 34 0.0% 10.7 8 15 10 3.1 92 208
21 Aaron Sanchez TOR SP 25 0.0% 6.7 1 15 7 9.0 25 275
22 Stephen Strasburg WAS SP 28 0.0% 14.3 15 15 11 6.6 84 216
23 Chad Bettis COL SP 28 0.0% 7.0 2 14 8 7.1 25 275
24 Dan Straily MIA SP 28 0.0% 9.7 10 14 0 6.9 37 263
25 Noah Syndergaard NYM SP 24 0.0% 6.7 1 14 9 9.1 24 276
Page: 1 , 2 , 3 ... 55