Choose Metric:

Probability of Reaching 500 Homeruns

Bill James' Favorite Toy


Rk Player Team Pos Age Prob EstLvl 1907 1906 1905 Yrs Career Needed
1 Jake Beckley STL 1B 39 0.0% 0.2 0 0 1 1.5 86 414
2 Buck Freeman BOS RF 35 0.0% 1.3 1 1 3 2.6 82 418
3 Bill Dahlen NYG SS 37 0.0% 1.5 0 1 7 1.5 79 421
4 George Davis CHW SS 36 0.0% 0.8 1 0 1 1.9 73 427
5 Bobby Lowe DET 3B 41 0.0% 0.3 0 1 0 1.5 71 429
6 Nap Lajoie CLE 2B 32 0.0% 1.5 2 0 2 4.3 70 430
7 Jimmy Collins BOS/PHA 3B 37 0.0% 1.0 0 1 4 1.5 65 435
8 Harry Davis PHA 1B 33 0.0% 9.3 8 12 8 3.6 64 436
9 Charlie Hickman WAS/CHW 1B 31 0.0% 4.2 1 9 4 5.3 57 443
10 Fred Clarke PIT LF 34 0.0% 1.7 2 1 2 3.2 55 445
11 Honus Wagner PIT SS 33 0.0% 4.7 6 2 6 4.0 55 445
12 Socks Seybold PHA RF 36 0.0% 5.2 5 5 6 2.0 51 449
13 John Anderson WAS 1B 33 0.0% 1.2 0 3 1 3.9 49 451
14 Lave Cross WAS 3B 41 0.0% 0.3 0 1 0 1.5 47 453
15 Elmer Flick CLE RF 31 0.0% 2.5 3 1 4 5.1 47 453
16 Sam Crawford DET CF 27 0.0% 3.7 4 2 6 7.7 45 455
17 Deacon McGuire NYY/BOS C 43 0.0% 0.8 1 0 0 1.5 45 455
18 Cy Seymour NYG CF 34 0.0% 5.5 3 8 8 3.3 45 455
19 Jimmy Williams NYY 2B 30 0.0% 3.0 2 3 6 5.7 45 455
20 Jimmy Sheckard CHC LF 28 0.0% 1.3 1 1 3 6.8 41 459
21 Dan McGann NYG 1B 35 0.0% 1.8 2 0 5 2.4 40 460
22 Ginger Beaumont BSN CF 30 0.0% 3.2 4 2 3 5.4 35 465
23 Tommy Corcoran NYG 2B 38 0.0% 0.7 0 1 2 1.5 34 466
24 Hobe Ferris BOS 2B 32 0.0% 3.7 4 2 6 4.5 34 466
25 Harry Lumley BRO RF 26 0.0% 8.7 9 9 7 8.0 34 466
Page: 1 , 2 , 3 ... 17