Choose Metric:

Probability of Reaching 500 Homeruns

Bill James' Favorite Toy


Rk Player Team Pos Age Prob EstLvl 1901 1900 1899 Yrs Career Needed
1 Hugh Duffy MIL CF 34 0.0% 2.5 2 2 5 3.2 106 394
2 Ed Delahanty PHI LF 33 0.0% 6.2 8 2 9 3.8 90 410
3 Herman Long BSN SS 35 0.0% 6.5 3 12 6 2.9 89 411
4 Jake Beckley CIN 1B 33 0.0% 2.7 3 2 3 3.7 77 423
5 Bobby Lowe BSN 3B 35 0.0% 3.2 3 3 4 2.4 70 430
6 George Van Haltren NYG CF 35 0.0% 1.2 1 1 2 2.8 69 431
7 George Davis NYG SS 30 0.0% 5.3 7 3 1 5.5 67 433
8 Bill Dahlen BRO SS 31 0.0% 3.0 4 1 4 5.1 66 434
9 Jesse Burkett STL LF 32 0.0% 8.5 10 7 7 4.5 61 439
10 Joe Kelley BRO 1B 29 0.0% 5.0 4 6 6 6.3 56 444
11 Duke Farrell BRO C 34 0.0% 0.8 1 0 2 3.1 51 449
12 Tom Daly BRO 2B 35 0.0% 3.7 3 4 5 2.8 47 453
13 Jimmy Collins BOS 3B 31 0.0% 5.8 6 6 5 5.1 46 454
14 Buck Freeman BOS 1B 29 0.0% 12.2 12 6 25 6.2 46 454
15 Nap Lajoie PHA 2B 26 0.0% 10.5 14 7 6 7.9 46 454
16 Fred Clarke PIT LF 28 0.0% 4.8 6 3 5 6.8 43 457
17 Lave Cross PHA 3B 35 0.0% 3.2 2 4 5 2.9 43 457
18 Deacon McGuire BRO C 37 0.0% 0.2 0 0 1 1.5 42 458
19 Billy Hamilton BSN CF 35 0.0% 2.3 3 1 1 2.8 40 460
20 Dummy Hoy CHW CF 39 0.0% 1.8 2 5 1.5 38 462
21 Mike Smith PIT/BSN LF 33 0.0% 1.2 0 3 1 4.0 37 463
22 John Anderson MIL 1B 27 0.0% 6.0 8 4 7.5 36 464
23 Kip Selbach NYG LF 29 0.0% 2.3 1 4 3 6.4 34 466
24 Candy LaChance CLE 1B 31 0.0% 0.8 1 1 5.2 31 469
25 Elmer Flick PHI RF 25 0.0% 8.0 8 11 2 8.7 29 471
Page: 1 , 2 , 3 ... 15